The Growing Demand for Electricity

  • Surging Demand: After decades of flat growth, U.S. electricity demand is projected to increase by 20% to 100% over the next 15 years .

  • Key Drivers: This surge is fueled by energy-hungry AI data centers, which require power equivalent to medium-sized cities, and the onshoring of semiconductor manufacturing.

  • Energy Gap: Peak power demand is expected to outstrip peak supply by 2028, necessitating new generation sources.

Why Small Modular Reactors (SMRs)?

  • Compact Efficiency: Unlike traditional gigawatt-scale plants (which power about 1 million homes), SMRs are approximately 300 megawatts and require much less space, making them ideal for “power-dense” locations

  • Standardization and Cost: Traditional plants were often “bespoke,” leading to high costs. SMRs are designed to be standardized products, allowing companies to lower costs through volume and factory-based construction

  • Zero-Carbon Energy: SMRs provide a reliable, zero-carbon alternative to fossil fuels, helping companies like “hyperscalers” (large data center operators) meet sustainability commitments 

Current Status and Timelines

  • Projected Deployment: While no SMRs are currently operating in the U.S., GE Vernova expects to have them running in the early 2030s 

  • Canada Leading: A BWRX-300 reactor is already being built in Ontario, Canada, and is expected to be online by the end of the decade 

  • U.S. Milestones: GE Vernova and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) are awaiting a construction permit from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, expected by late 2026, with construction potentially starting in 2027 

Government and Financial Support

  • Bipartisan Support: Nuclear energy is one of the few power sources with general consensus across both sides of the political aisle 

  • Funding and Partnerships: * The Department of Energy recently provided $400 million in funding support for the TVA project 

    • A $100 billion Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) was signed with the U.S. government to industrialize SMRs, involving potential investment from Japan through partners like Hitachi 

  • Resource Challenges: Expanding nuclear capacity will require a significant increase in the domestic supply of uranium, as the U.S. currently depends heavily on other countries for this fuel